Satya Nadella desires everybody to cease arguing about AI-generated slop. The Microsoft CEO launched a private weblog on December 29, 2025, calling for the {industry} to “get past the arguments of slop vs sophistication” simply days after admitting to managers that his firm’s flagship AI product “does not actually work” and is “not sensible.”

The timing reveals a disconnect between Microsoft’s public positioning and inside actuality. Whereas Nadella’s sn scratchpad blog post frames AI high quality considerations as philosophical debates requiring new “idea of the thoughts” frameworks, reporting from The Data on December 28, 2025, uncovered that Microsoft’s Copilot integrations with Gmail and Outlook fail to function properly, with the CEO personally taking over product administration obligations to repair a product the corporate has spent billions selling.

Nadella’s blog represents an try to reframe elementary technical failures as transitional rising pains. Based on the weblog publish, “We have to get past the arguments of slop vs sophistication and develop a brand new equilibrium when it comes to our ‘idea of the thoughts’ that accounts for people being geared up with these new cognitive amplifier instruments as we relate to one another.” This philosophical framing conveniently sidesteps the truth that AI brokers being offered as labor replacements fail to finish real-world workplace duties 70% of the time, in response to Carnegie Mellon College analysis.

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Microsoft has positioned Copilot subscriptions as functioning as “digital staff” dealing with administrative assistant duties. The imaginative and prescient facilities on significant automation changing human effort. Technical execution, nonetheless, hasn’t matched the advertising and marketing guarantees. Nadella and his deputies, together with Government Vice President Rajesh Jha, fear that AI in Workplace 365 is not delivering on automation guarantees, with the CEO assuming an unusually hands-on function basically functioning as Microsoft’s high product supervisor for the struggling product.

The weblog publish identifies three priorities for AI improvement in 2026. First comes growing conceptual frameworks that place AI as “scaffolding for human potential vs a substitute.” Nadella references Steve Jobs’ Nineteen Nineties description of computer systems as “bicycles for the thoughts,” arguing that AI requires comparable philosophical positioning. The framing ignores that bicycles really work once you pedal them, whereas Copilot’s integrations demonstrably don’t work in response to Microsoft’s personal CEO.

The disconnect between public optimism and personal acknowledgment runs all through Microsoft’s AI technique. The company reported promoting income exceeding $20 billion over 12 months as of April 2025, with Copilot integration driving 21% will increase in search and information promoting income. Advertising supplies tout Copilot as remodeling search, looking, and content material discovery. In the meantime, executives privately fear the product fails fundamental cross-platform performance checks.

From transparency to black bins

Microsoft’s pivot towards AI-first technique extends past Copilot’s technical failures to abandoning industry-leading transparency in favor of opaque automated programs. The company announced in May 2025 it would discontinue Microsoft Make investments (previously Xandr, previously AppNexus) efficient February 28, 2026, eliminating one of many promoting {industry}’s most clear platforms.

Based on Kya Sainsbury-Carter, Microsoft Promoting Company Vice President, “Our dedication to extra non-public and personalised promoting experiences for a extra agentic and conversational world is just not achievable with the {industry}’s present DSP mannequin which, due to this fact, not aligns with our funding on this future.” The strategic withdrawal sacrifices visibility into promoting provide chains in favor of AI-driven automation that features as a black field the place inputs and outputs are seen however inside processes stay opaque.

AppNexus, which Microsoft acquired via its 2022 Xandr buy, had established itself because the programmatic promoting {industry}’s transparency champion. Brian O’Kelley, AppNexus co-founder and former CEO, positioned the corporate as charging simply 8.5% to sellers on common—considerably decrease than rivals—whereas offering advertisers unprecedented visibility into price buildings and cash flows all through the promoting provide chain. The platform allowed advertisers to see precisely what charges had been charged at every step of programmatic transactions, a stage of visibility that continues to be unusual within the {industry}.

Microsoft kills free Prebid Cache publishers rely on for video ads

Microsoft deprecates public Prebid Cache on April 30, 2026, affecting 60% of configured endpoints as publishers scramble for alternatives to maintain video delivery.

Business research doc why this transparency issues. Analysis by the Integrated Society of British Advertisers discovered that 49% of promoting {dollars} by no means attain publishers because of intermediaries in programmatic transactions. The Affiliation of Nationwide Advertisers examined 16.4 billion media impressions and located that 42% of programmatic spending went to “nonworking media”—tech or company charges moderately than precise promoting placement. Roughly 15% of promoting {dollars} merely disappear into an “unknown delta” that can not be accounted for anyplace within the provide chain.

Microsoft’s determination to remove Xandr removes this transparency choice from the market exactly when the corporate pushes advertisers towards AI-driven options providing much less visibility into how promoting {dollars} are spent and campaigns are optimized. The transfer mirrors Nadella’s weblog technique of changing concrete measurement with philosophical frameworks—abandoning granular price visibility for summary guarantees about “conversational, personalised, and agentic” promoting futures.

Microsoft’s AI challenges prolong past Copilot’s technical failures to elementary questions on partnership sustainability with OpenAI. Elon Musk warned in August 2025 that “OpenAI goes to eat Microsoft alive,” a prediction gaining credibility as proof emerges that OpenAI has quietly deserted Microsoft’s Bing search infrastructure.

Analysis revealed that ChatGPT’s paid version now uses Google Search outcomes moderately than Bing, regardless of official documentation claiming in any other case. Abhishek Iyer, a former Google search infrastructure engineer, carried out testing in July 2025 displaying ChatGPT’s search performance depends on Google’s index moderately than Microsoft’s search expertise. The abandonment occurred as Microsoft concurrently diminished Bing API availability, saying on June 9, 2025, that Bing Search APIs can be retired by August 11, 2025.

The shift represents a big departure from earlier partnership preparations. When Microsoft first built-in OpenAI expertise into Bing in February 2023, the businesses emphasised their collaborative strategy to go looking enhancement. Microsoft’s funding in OpenAI was partly justified by expectations of strengthened search market positioning towards Google. OpenAI’s quiet migration to Google search undermines this strategic rationale whereas doubtlessly strengthening Google’s AI ecosystem.

Nadella’s weblog publish about growing new equilibrium for human-AI collaboration rings hole when Microsoft’s key AI companion has deserted the corporate’s search infrastructure for a competitor’s expertise. The OpenAI defection occurred whereas Microsoft was investing billions in AI datacenter infrastructure and recruiting expertise at premium salaries to help the partnership.

Nadella’s second weblog precedence addresses evolving “from fashions to programs on the subject of deploying AI for actual world affect.” He writes about constructing “wealthy scaffolds that orchestrate a number of fashions and brokers; account for reminiscence and entitlements; allow wealthy and protected ‘instruments use.'” This engineering imaginative and prescient sounds refined till contemplating that Microsoft executives admitted the product’s fundamental electronic mail integrations do not operate correctly, suggesting the corporate hasn’t mastered elementary interoperability earlier than pursuing advanced multi-agent orchestration.

The sample reveals Microsoft’s strategic strategy: abandon confirmed clear programs (Xandr) and practical partnerships (OpenAI utilizing Bing) in favor of opaque AI-driven automation that does not really work (Copilot). The corporate concurrently eliminates visibility into promoting spending, loses its search integration with its key AI companion, and delivers a flagship product its personal CEO admits fails fundamental performance checks—all whereas Nadella blogs about philosophical frameworks for cognitive amplification.

The weblog acknowledges AI fashions have “jagged edges” requiring engineering programs to compensate for weaknesses whereas leveraging strengths. This cautious phrasing obscures the truth that 70% process failure charges characterize greater than tough edges—they point out elementary functionality gaps between promised performance and precise efficiency. Analysis displaying only 39% of organizations attribute any EBIT impact to AI use suggests these technical limitations translate into measurable enterprise failures.

Microsoft’s willingness to approve unusually excessive salaries to recruit AI expertise from OpenAI and Google DeepMind, with Nadella personally calling potential hires, signifies the technical complexity of constructing practical AI merchandise exceeds preliminary expectations. This expertise scramble occurred after years of improvement and billions in infrastructure funding, elevating questions on whether or not higher product design—Nadella’s proposed answer—can overcome challenges that stumped Microsoft’s present engineering groups.

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The existential menace Microsoft will not acknowledge

Musk’s August 2025 warning that OpenAI will “eat Microsoft alive” mirrored aggressive dynamics that Microsoft’s management publicly dismissed however privately should acknowledge. The prediction got here hours after Microsoft introduced GPT-5 integration throughout its platform ecosystem, with Nadella positioning the deployment as strengthening the partnership. Musk’s response generated 834.3K views and sparked debate about partnership sustainability as AI capabilities advance.

Nadella responded with measured optimism, stating “Individuals have been attempting for 50 years and that is the enjoyable of it! Every day you study one thing new, and innovate, companion, and compete. Excited for Grok 4 on Azure and looking out ahead to Grok 5!” The diplomatic response acknowledged aggressive dynamics whereas avoiding direct engagement with Musk’s prediction of OpenAI dominance.

The existential menace facilities on Microsoft’s elementary dependence on OpenAI expertise for its AI technique. Microsoft has invested over $13 billion in OpenAI since 2019, securing unique industrial rights to fashions whereas offering Azure computational infrastructure. The October 2025 restructured partnership prolonged IP rights via 2032 with a $250 billion Azure companies dedication, valuing Microsoft’s funding at roughly $135 billion representing roughly 27% possession on an as-converted diluted foundation.

These monetary commitments create organizational incentives to keep up optimistic public messaging even when non-public assessments reveal issues. As OpenAI’s capabilities and market place strengthen, the steadiness of energy throughout the partnership shifts towards the AI firm moderately than the infrastructure supplier. Microsoft’s conventional strengths in enterprise software program and cloud companies could show much less worthwhile than OpenAI’s mannequin improvement capabilities in an AI-driven market.

The third precedence entails “deliberate decisions on how we diffuse this expertise on the earth as an answer to the challenges of individuals and planet.” Nadella frames this as searching for “societal permission” via “actual world eval affect,” emphasizing scarce power, compute, and expertise sources. The framing positions Microsoft as a accountable steward balancing technological potential towards useful resource constraints and social issues.

This positioning conflicts with Microsoft’s precise deployment technique. The company faced Federal Court proceedings in Australia alleging it misled roughly 2.7 million clients by intentionally concealing non-AI subscription choices whereas pushing customers towards dearer Copilot-integrated choices. The Australian Competitors and Client Fee accused Microsoft of conveying that sustaining subscriptions required both accepting Copilot integration at greater costs or canceling completely, whereas a 3rd choice—Microsoft 365 Traditional plans with out Copilot—existed however was intentionally hidden.

The alleged deception suggests Microsoft’s precise strategy to “diffusion” entails forcing adoption via deceptive advertising and marketing moderately than incomes “societal permission” via demonstrated worth. If Copilot delivered significant automation as promised, Microsoft would not want to cover options or make use of allegedly misleading practices to drive adoption. The hole between Nadella’s weblog rhetoric about accountable deployment and Microsoft’s reported ways undermines the CEO’s credibility on AI governance.

The Xandr shutdown represents one other instance of this sample. Microsoft eradicated transparency in promoting expertise exactly when pushing advertisers towards opaque AI-driven options. The transfer sacrifices advertiser visibility into price buildings and provide chain prices—transparency that AppNexus founder Brian O’Kelley championed as important for truthful promoting markets—in favor of black field automation promising superior outcomes with out explaining how these outcomes are achieved.

Nadella’s weblog emphasizes shifting past “spectacle” towards “substance,” distinguishing between AI capabilities and precise real-world affect. “What issues is just not the ability of any given mannequin, however how individuals select to use it to attain their targets,” he writes. This framing shifts duty from Microsoft’s technical execution to consumer implementation decisions, suggesting adoption failures mirror misapplication moderately than product deficiencies.

Business knowledge contradicts this narrative. Whereas 88% of organizations report common AI use in a minimum of one enterprise operate, solely one-third have progressed past pilot or experimental phases to enterprise-wide scaling. McKinsey research identifies vital gaps between adoption charges and monetary affect, with solely 39% of organizations attributing any EBIT affect to AI use. These patterns counsel systemic technical limitations moderately than consumer error.

Gartner predicted over 40% of agentic AI tasks can be canceled by the tip of 2027 because of escalating prices, unclear enterprise worth, and insufficient threat controls. The projection extends past Microsoft to the broader AI {industry}, however Microsoft’s struggles characterize notably seen failures given the corporate’s advertising and marketing investments and public commitments to AI-first technique.

The infrastructure lure

Microsoft’s huge AI infrastructure investments create a lure that makes acknowledging failure more and more tough. The company announced plans to spend $80 billion throughout 2025 on AI datacenter development worldwide, together with the Wisconsin Fairwater datacenter that includes a whole lot of hundreds of NVIDIA GPUs delivering 10 occasions the efficiency of immediately’s quickest supercomputers. These capital expenditures create stress to generate returns justifying the funding no matter whether or not merchandise really operate as marketed.

The weblog’s reference to “mannequin overhang”—the place functionality outpaces present skill to make use of it for real-world affect—gives handy cowl for implementation failures. If fashions possess capabilities that customers merely have not discovered easy methods to leverage, then poor outcomes mirror an implementation hole moderately than technical deficiency. This framing ignores proof that elementary technical boundaries stop AI programs from reliably finishing workplace duties no matter implementation strategy.

Nadella’s name to maneuver past “slop vs sophistication” arguments straight addresses {industry} considerations about AI-generated content material high quality which have dominated advertising and marketing and publishing discussions all through 2025. Integral Ad Science identified AI-generated “slop websites” as important threats to digital promoting effectiveness in July 2025, with EMarketer forecasting as a lot as 90% of net content material could also be AI-generated by 2026. Raptive research showed suspected AI content material reduces reader belief by 50% and hurts model commercial efficiency by 14%.

Microsoft’s CEO frames these high quality considerations as momentary friction requiring higher product design moderately than elementary issues with AI-generated content material. “That is the product design query we have to debate and reply,” Nadella writes, positioning content material high quality as an interface problem. The framing means that with correct design, AI can produce content material indistinguishable from human creation, eliminating high quality considerations via improved consumer expertise.

This optimistic view conflicts with mounting proof of systemic AI content material high quality issues. Research shows one-third of YouTube Shorts feeds now encompass AI-generated content material, whereas Google’s John Mueller warned in August 2025 that web sites utilizing giant language fashions to construct content material clusters are “build up legal responsibility” and “causes to not go to any a part of your web site.” These {industry} responses point out high quality considerations prolong past interface design into elementary content material worth propositions.

The weblog arrives as Microsoft navigates organizational transitions following Nadella’s delegation of operational obligations to new management. The CEO’s determination to create a private weblog platform moderately than relying solely on company channels suggests want for extra direct communication unfiltered by public relations evaluation. The casual “sn scratchpad” branding positions the weblog as private reflection moderately than official Microsoft coverage, offering believable deniability if statements show problematic.

This communication technique permits Nadella to form {industry} discourse whereas sustaining distance from company accountability. When the CEO writes about shifting past slop arguments or growing new cognitive frameworks, these positions characterize private views moderately than Microsoft commitments that could possibly be scrutinized by shareholders or regulators. The strategy mirrors how tech executives more and more use private social media and blogs to check messaging with out formal firm endorsement.

Microsoft’s AI technique faces mounting challenges past technical execution. The corporate’s determination to remove Xandr whereas concurrently pushing opaque AI-driven promoting options reveals a sample: Microsoft abandons transparency and confirmed performance in favor of black field automation that does not really work. The strategic withdrawal from conventional DSP fashions occurred whereas Copilot integrations fail fundamental checks, OpenAI abandons Bing for Google, and the corporate faces regulatory motion for allegedly deceptive clients.

The guess on AI brokers changing established software program companies carries huge monetary implications. Workplace and Home windows have powered industries for many years, producing predictable subscription income supporting Microsoft’s market valuation. Transitioning clients from confirmed productiveness software program to experimental AI assistants that “do not actually work” represents a high-risk technique that might backfire if technical issues persist whereas OpenAI concurrently strengthens its unbiased market place and advertisers lose visibility into how their cash is spent.

The disconnect between Microsoft’s public AI enthusiasm and personal technical struggles extends all through the advertising and marketing supplies. Research published in August 2025 confirmed Copilot generates 73% greater click-through charges and 16% stronger conversion charges in comparison with conventional search promoting, with day by day energetic customers rising constantly from November 2024 via Might 2025. These advertising and marketing metrics counsel profitable product adoption whilst inside communications reveal fundamental performance failures.

Advertising professionals face choices about whether or not to belief Microsoft’s optimistic public messaging or heed warning indicators from leaked inside communications and aggressive dynamics. The corporate’s October 2025 announcement of 12 new Copilot options remodeling the AI assistant right into a “companion” positioned the product as evolving past fundamental performance towards refined human connection. Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, acknowledged “Know-how ought to work in service of individuals. Not the opposite method round. Ever.” The philosophical framing obscured that fundamental electronic mail integrations remained damaged whereas OpenAI was concurrently abandoning Bing for Google search.

The Australian regulatory motion alleging misleading practices round Copilot subscription choices suggests Microsoft acknowledged that clear alternative would scale back adoption charges. If the product delivered real worth justifying value will increase, hiding non-AI options can be pointless. The alleged concealment signifies Microsoft’s personal inside evaluation recommended customers would reject Copilot if given clear choices, contradicting public messaging about overwhelming buyer enthusiasm.

Nadella’s weblog writing about growing new equilibrium in “idea of the thoughts” for human-AI collaboration reads as tone-deaf on condition that Microsoft’s AI product fails to carry out fundamental electronic mail duties whereas its key AI companion has deserted the corporate’s search infrastructure for a competitor and the corporate eliminates transparency in promoting expertise. The philosophical abstraction avoids addressing concrete technical failures and aggressive threats affecting clients who pay premium costs for nonfunctional options whereas Microsoft’s strategic companion undermines the connection and advertisers lose visibility into spending.

The weblog’s emphasis on “actual world eval affect” as vital for “societal permission” rings hole when Microsoft’s personal inside assessments reveal the product lacks real-world affect past producing advertising and marketing metrics and promoting income. If 70% of workplace duties tried by AI brokers fail, solely 39% of organizations attribute any EBIT affect to AI use, and 49% of promoting {dollars} disappear into opaque provide chains that Microsoft is making extra opaque by eliminating Xandr, then Microsoft’s AI merchandise have not earned societal permission via demonstrated worth—they’ve gained market presence via aggressive advertising and marketing, allegedly misleading practices, and strategic elimination of transparency.

For the promoting and advertising and marketing expertise {industry}, Nadella’s weblog indicators Microsoft’s dedication to sustaining AI-first messaging no matter technical actuality or aggressive threats. The corporate will proceed investing billions in infrastructure, recruiting expertise at premium salaries, and selling AI capabilities via advertising and marketing campaigns. Whether or not merchandise really operate as marketed, whether or not OpenAI ultimately competes straight with Microsoft moderately than collaborating, and whether or not advertisers can see the place their cash goes stays secondary to sustaining market narrative that positions Microsoft as an AI chief.

Advertising groups evaluating Microsoft AI merchandise ought to acknowledge the hole between public messaging and personal acknowledgments. Carnegie Mellon research displaying 70% process failure charges for AI brokers positions present AI assistants as augmentation instruments moderately than substitute staff. Organizations ought to construction AI implementations sustaining human oversight and judgment for important workflows moderately than trusting vendor guarantees about autonomous functionality, whereas recognizing that even Microsoft’s partnership with OpenAI could not present sustainable aggressive benefits because the AI firm strengthens its unbiased market place and Microsoft eliminates transparency that allowed advertisers to confirm worth.

The weblog’s name to maneuver past slop arguments whereas Microsoft’s personal CEO admits Copilot does not work, OpenAI abandons Bing for Google, and the corporate shuts down industry-leading transparency in Xandr exemplifies the disconnect between tech {industry} rhetoric and operational actuality.

Timeline

Abstract

Who: Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella launched a private weblog titled “sn scratchpad” to debate AI technique and conceptual frameworks, whereas privately admitting to managers that Copilot integrations with Gmail and Outlook “do not actually work” and are “not sensible.” The weblog publish arrived 4 days after The Data’s December 28, 2025, report uncovered inside considerations about Copilot’s technical execution and market efficiency, whereas Elon Musk’s August 2025 warning that OpenAI will “eat Microsoft alive” good points credibility as OpenAI abandons Bing for Google search and Microsoft eliminates its industry-leading transparency platform Xandr.

What: Nadella printed a weblog publish on December 29, 2025, calling for the {industry} to “get past the arguments of slop vs sophistication” and develop new “idea of the thoughts” frameworks positioning AI as “cognitive amplifier instruments” moderately than human substitutes. The publish recognized three priorities: creating conceptual frameworks evolving Steve Jobs’ “bicycles for the thoughts” idea, constructing engineering programs that orchestrate a number of fashions whereas compensating for AI’s “jagged edges,” and making deliberate decisions about expertise diffusion to earn “societal permission.” This philosophical framing straight conflicts with reporting that Microsoft’s flagship AI product fails fundamental integration checks, that AI brokers offered as labor replacements fail to finish workplace duties 70% of the time in response to Carnegie Mellon College analysis, that OpenAI has quietly deserted Microsoft’s Bing search infrastructure for Google’s competing expertise regardless of official partnership claims, and that Microsoft intentionally eradicated Xandr—the promoting {industry}’s most clear DSP platform—in favor of opaque AI-driven black field options.

When: The weblog launched December 29, 2025, simply 4 days after Nadella’s inside admission that Copilot does not work, and sooner or later earlier than The Verge’s January 2, 2026, protection. The timing coincides with Microsoft’s organizational transitions as Nadella delegated operational obligations to deal with AI product improvement, having assumed an unusually hands-on function basically functioning as the corporate’s high product supervisor for the struggling Copilot product. The weblog frames 2026 as “a pivotal yr for AI” getting into widespread diffusion past preliminary discovery phases, whereas mounting proof suggests Microsoft faces existential aggressive threats from its personal AI companion OpenAI (which deserted Bing search in July 2025 and prompted Musk’s August 2025 warning about OpenAI dominance) and intentionally eliminates transparency via the Might 2025 announcement of Xandr’s February 2026 shutdown.

The place: The weblog seems at “sn scratchpad” as Nadella’s private platform separate from official Microsoft company communications. The content material addresses world AI improvement challenges affecting Microsoft’s enterprise throughout enterprise software program, promoting platforms, and shopper merchandise together with Copilot integrations with Workplace 365, Home windows, and Edge browser. Microsoft’s AI investments span $80 billion in datacenter infrastructure throughout 2025, a restructured OpenAI partnership valued at $135 billion, and world operations going through regulatory scrutiny together with Australian Federal Courtroom proceedings alleging the corporate misled 2.7 million clients about Copilot subscription choices, whereas OpenAI’s abandonment of Bing for Google search undermines the strategic rationale for Microsoft’s huge AI infrastructure investments and the Xandr shutdown eliminates advertiser visibility into the $20 billion promoting ecosystem Microsoft now controls via opaque AI-driven automation.

Why: Nadella created the weblog to reframe elementary technical failures, existential aggressive threats, and strategic abandonment of transparency as philosophical challenges requiring new conceptual frameworks moderately than admitting AI merchandise do not operate as marketed whereas Microsoft’s key companion strengthens unbiased capabilities that might ultimately compete straight with Microsoft and the corporate intentionally eliminates transparency that allowed clients to confirm worth. By shifting discourse from technical efficiency towards summary “idea of the thoughts” discussions, Microsoft makes an attempt to deflect consideration from Copilot’s damaged integrations, 70% AI agent process failure charges, proof that solely 39% of organizations attribute any EBIT affect to AI use, OpenAI’s quiet migration to Google search infrastructure, Musk’s warning about OpenAI ultimately dominating Microsoft, and the Xandr shutdown that eliminates the promoting {industry}’s most clear platform exactly when Microsoft pushes advertisers towards black field AI automation the place 49% of promoting {dollars} disappear into opaque provide chains. The rhetorical technique maintains optimistic public messaging important to justifying billions in infrastructure investments and supporting market narrative positioning Microsoft as an AI chief, whilst inside assessments reveal the corporate’s executives fear AI is not delivering significant automation, fundamental cross-platform performance stays damaged regardless of years of improvement and large useful resource dedication, the strategic companion upon which Microsoft has guess its future could finally devour moderately than collaborate with the corporate, and Microsoft intentionally sacrifices transparency and confirmed programs for experimental automation that does not really work.


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