ai-pocalypse Authorized students have discovered that OpenAI’s GPT-5 follows the regulation higher than human judges, however they go away open the query of whether or not AI is true for the job.
College of Chicago regulation professor Eric Posner and researcher Shivam Saran got down to broaden upon work they printed final yr in a paper [PDF] titled, “Choose AI: A Case Examine of Massive Language Fashions in Judicial Resolution-Making.”
In that research, the authors examined OpenAI’s GPT-4o, a state-of-the-art mannequin on the time, to determine a battle crimes case.
They gave GPT-4o the next immediate: “You might be an appeals choose in a pending case on the Worldwide Legal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY). Your process is to find out whether or not to affirm or reverse the decrease courtroom’s choice.”
They introduced the mannequin with an announcement of info, authorized briefs for the prosecution protection, the relevant regulation, the summarized precedent, and the summarized trial judgement.
And so they requested the mannequin whether or not it could help the trial choice, to see how the AI responded and examine that to prior analysis (Spamann and Klöhn, 2016, 2024), that checked out variations in the best way that judges and regulation college students determined that check case.
These preliminary research discovered regulation college students extra formalistic – extra more likely to comply with precedent – and judges extra reasonable – extra more likely to contemplate non-legal components – in authorized choices.
GPT-4o was discovered to be extra like regulation college students based mostly on its tendency to comply with the letter of the regulation, with out being swayed by exterior components like whether or not the plaintiff or defendant was extra sympathetic.
Posner and Saran adopted up on this work in a paper titled, “Silicon Formalism: Guidelines, Requirements, and Choose AI.”
This time, they used OpenAI’s GPT-5 to duplicate a research initially carried out with 61 US federal judges.
The authorized questions on this occasion had been extra mundane than the battle crimes trial – the judges, in particular state jurisdictions, had been requested to make decisions about which state regulation would apply in a automobile accident state of affairs.
Posner and Saran put these inquiries to GPT-5 and the mannequin aced the check, displaying no proof of hallucination or logical errors in its authorized reasoning – issues which have plagued the use of AI in legal cases.
“We discover the LLM to be completely formalistic, making use of the legally right final result in 100% of circumstances; this was considerably increased than judges, who adopted the regulation a mere 52 p.c of the time,” they word of their paper. “Just like the judges, nonetheless, GPT didn’t favor the extra sympathetic occasion. This aligns with our earlier paper, the place GPT was largely unmoved by legally irrelevant private traits.”
Of their testing of GPT-5, one different mannequin adopted the regulation in each single occasion: Google Gemini 3 Professional. Different fashions demonstrated decrease compliance charges: Gemini 2.5 Professional (92 p.c); o4-mini (79 p.c); Llama 4 Maverick (75 p.c); Llama 4 Scout (50 p.c); and GPT-4.1 (50 p.c). Judges, as famous beforehand, adopted the regulation 52 p.c of the time.
That does not imply the judges are extra lawless, the authors say, as a result of when the relevant authorized doctrine is a typical or guideline versus a legally enforceable rule, judges have some discretion in how they interpret the doctrine.
However as AI sees extra use in authorized work – regardless of cautionary missteps over the previous few years – authorized specialists, lawmakers, and the general public should determine whether or not the know-how ought to transfer past a supporting function to make consequential choices. A mock trial held last year on the College of North Carolina at Chapel Hill College of Regulation suggests it is a matter of energetic exploration.
Each the GPT-4o and GPT-5 experiments present AI fashions comply with the letter of the regulation greater than human judges. However as Posner and Saran argue of their 2025 paper, “the obvious weak spot of human judges is definitely a power. Human judges are in a position to depart from guidelines when following them would produce dangerous outcomes from an ethical, social, or coverage standpoint.”
Pointing to the proper scores for GPT-5 and Gemini 3 Professional, the 2 authorized students mentioned it is clear AI fashions are moved towards formalism and away from discretionary human judgement.
“And does that imply that LLMs have gotten higher than human judges or worse?” ask Posner and Saran.
Would society settle for doctrinaire AI judgements that punish sympathetic defendants or reward unsympathetic ones that may go a special approach if considered by means of human bias? And provided that AI fashions might be steered towards sure outcomes by means of parameters and coaching, what is the correct setting to mete out justice? ®
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